경제
동행지수와 선행지수
데이빗제이2
2024. 6. 14. 15:24
동행지수 (Coincident Index)
동행지수는 경제 활동의 현재 상태를 반영합니다. 주요 경제 지표(예: 산업 생산, 소매 판매 등)를 기반으로 계산됩니다. 이 지수는 현재 경제가 확장 중인지, 수축 중인지 파악하는 데 도움을 줍니다.
선행지수 (Leading Index)
선행지수는 미래의 경제 상태를 예측합니다. 주요 경제 지표(예: 신규 주문, 주식 가격, 소비자 기대 등)를 기반으로 계산됩니다. 이 지수는 향후 경제 활동의 방향을 예측하는 데 사용됩니다.
추세치=100을 기준으로 순환변동치가 100을 상회하면 추세이상의 성장을 하고 있고 100을 하회하면 추세이하의 성장을 하고 있다고 볼 수 있으며 순환변동치 수준보다는 방향 중심으로 해석
2024년의 경제는 전체 평균에 비해 약간 부진하지만, 선행지수의 개선을 고려할 때, 앞으로 경제 활동이 회복될 가능성. 이는 기업과 투자자들에게 신중한 낙관론을 유지할 필요가 있음을 시사합 경제 상황을 면밀히 관찰하며, 향후의 긍정적인 변화에 대비하는 전략이 필요.
아래는 데이터 첨부
더보기
| 날짜 | 동행지수순환변동치 | 선행지수순환변동치 |
| 1992-01-01 | 101.6 | 99.5 |
| 1992-02-01 | 101.3 | 99.3 |
| 1992-03-01 | 101.1 | 99.3 |
| 1992-04-01 | 101.1 | 99 |
| 1992-05-01 | 100.6 | 99.1 |
| 1992-06-01 | 100.3 | 98.8 |
| 1992-07-01 | 100 | 98.7 |
| 1992-08-01 | 99.6 | 98.1 |
| 1992-09-01 | 99 | 97.8 |
| 1992-10-01 | 98.6 | 97.6 |
| 1992-11-01 | 98.1 | 98 |
| 1992-12-01 | 98 | 98.4 |
| 1993-01-01 | 97.8 | 98.7 |
| 1993-02-01 | 97.2 | 98.5 |
| 1993-03-01 | 97 | 98.4 |
| 1993-04-01 | 96.8 | 98.5 |
| 1993-05-01 | 96.9 | 98.5 |
| 1993-06-01 | 97.1 | 98.8 |
| 1993-07-01 | 97.4 | 98.7 |
| 1993-08-01 | 97.5 | 98.7 |
| 1993-09-01 | 97.7 | 98.3 |
| 1993-10-01 | 97.8 | 98.6 |
| 1993-11-01 | 98 | 99.2 |
| 1993-12-01 | 98.1 | 99.9 |
| 1994-01-01 | 98.4 | 100.5 |
| 1994-02-01 | 98.5 | 101 |
| 1994-03-01 | 98.5 | 101.5 |
| 1994-04-01 | 98.7 | 101.6 |
| 1994-05-01 | 98.7 | 101.6 |
| 1994-06-01 | 99 | 101.7 |
| 1994-07-01 | 99.2 | 101.7 |
| 1994-08-01 | 99.2 | 101.8 |
| 1994-09-01 | 99.3 | 102.3 |
| 1994-10-01 | 99.7 | 102.8 |
| 1994-11-01 | 100.2 | 103.2 |
| 1994-12-01 | 100.6 | 104.1 |
| 1995-01-01 | 100.9 | 104.4 |
| 1995-02-01 | 101.1 | 105 |
| 1995-03-01 | 101.4 | 104.5 |
| 1995-04-01 | 101.5 | 104.8 |
| 1995-05-01 | 101.9 | 104.5 |
| 1995-06-01 | 102.3 | 104.5 |
| 1995-07-01 | 102.6 | 105.1 |
| 1995-08-01 | 103.1 | 105.3 |
| 1995-09-01 | 103.4 | 105.2 |
| 1995-10-01 | 103.6 | 104.9 |
| 1995-11-01 | 103.7 | 104.9 |
| 1995-12-01 | 104.2 | 104.7 |
| 1996-01-01 | 104.5 | 104.3 |
| 1996-02-01 | 104.9 | 103.9 |
| 1996-03-01 | 104.7 | 104 |
| 1996-04-01 | 104.9 | 103.5 |
| 1996-05-01 | 105.2 | 103.2 |
| 1996-06-01 | 105 | 102.1 |
| 1996-07-01 | 104.9 | 102 |
| 1996-08-01 | 104.6 | 101.7 |
| 1996-09-01 | 104.6 | 100.8 |
| 1996-10-01 | 104.7 | 99.9 |
| 1996-11-01 | 104.8 | 99.4 |
| 1996-12-01 | 104.9 | 99.8 |
| 1997-01-01 | 104.3 | 99.6 |
| 1997-02-01 | 104.3 | 99.9 |
| 1997-03-01 | 104.1 | 100 |
| 1997-04-01 | 104.5 | 100.7 |
| 1997-05-01 | 104.5 | 100.6 |
| 1997-06-01 | 104.3 | 100.9 |
| 1997-07-01 | 104.2 | 100.7 |
| 1997-08-01 | 104.2 | 100.9 |
| 1997-09-01 | 104.1 | 100.6 |
| 1997-10-01 | 103.7 | 100 |
| 1997-11-01 | 103.2 | 98.8 |
| 1997-12-01 | 102.3 | 96.1 |
| 1998-01-01 | 100.6 | 93.3 |
| 1998-02-01 | 98.6 | 91.8 |
| 1998-03-01 | 96.5 | 91.9 |
| 1998-04-01 | 95.4 | 92.6 |
| 1998-05-01 | 94.7 | 92.9 |
| 1998-06-01 | 93.9 | 92.7 |
| 1998-07-01 | 93.3 | 93 |
| 1998-08-01 | 93 | 93.6 |
| 1998-09-01 | 93.2 | 94 |
| 1998-10-01 | 94.3 | 94.5 |
| 1998-11-01 | 95.5 | 95.1 |
| 1998-12-01 | 96.1 | 95.9 |
| 1999-01-01 | 96.5 | 96.9 |
| 1999-02-01 | 96.6 | 98.2 |
| 1999-03-01 | 96.9 | 99.3 |
| 1999-04-01 | 97.2 | 100.2 |
| 1999-05-01 | 97.5 | 101 |
| 1999-06-01 | 98.1 | 102.4 |
| 1999-07-01 | 98.8 | 103.6 |
| 1999-08-01 | 99.3 | 104.2 |
| 1999-09-01 | 99.8 | 104.2 |
| 1999-10-01 | 99.9 | 103.9 |
| 1999-11-01 | 100.4 | 104.2 |
| 1999-12-01 | 100.4 | 104.1 |
| 2000-01-01 | 100.4 | 105.1 |
| 2000-02-01 | 100.4 | 105.1 |
| 2000-03-01 | 100.7 | 105.2 |
| 2000-04-01 | 100.9 | 104.5 |
| 2000-05-01 | 101.4 | 104.2 |
| 2000-06-01 | 101.7 | 104.2 |
| 2000-07-01 | 102.6 | 104.1 |
| 2000-08-01 | 102.6 | 104.5 |
| 2000-09-01 | 102.3 | 103.7 |
| 2000-10-01 | 101.7 | 102.2 |
| 2000-11-01 | 101.2 | 99.7 |
| 2000-12-01 | 100.7 | 98.3 |
| 2001-01-01 | 100.3 | 96.9 |
| 2001-02-01 | 99.9 | 96.6 |
| 2001-03-01 | 99.8 | 96.7 |
| 2001-04-01 | 99.6 | 96.8 |
| 2001-05-01 | 99.8 | 97.2 |
| 2001-06-01 | 99.8 | 97.3 |
| 2001-07-01 | 99.2 | 97 |
| 2001-08-01 | 99 | 96.7 |
| 2001-09-01 | 99.4 | 96.7 |
| 2001-10-01 | 99.8 | 97 |
| 2001-11-01 | 100.1 | 98.1 |
| 2001-12-01 | 99.7 | 99.4 |
| 2002-01-01 | 100.1 | 101.1 |
| 2002-02-01 | 100.6 | 102.3 |
| 2002-03-01 | 101.4 | 103.7 |
| 2002-04-01 | 101.7 | 104 |
| 2002-05-01 | 101.5 | 103.7 |
| 2002-06-01 | 101 | 102.7 |
| 2002-07-01 | 101 | 102.1 |
| 2002-08-01 | 101 | 101.6 |
| 2002-09-01 | 101.3 | 101.1 |
| 2002-10-01 | 101.2 | 100.3 |
| 2002-11-01 | 101.5 | 100.2 |
| 2002-12-01 | 101.3 | 100.3 |
| 2003-01-01 | 101.2 | 100.1 |
| 2003-02-01 | 100.7 | 99.9 |
| 2003-03-01 | 100.4 | 99.6 |
| 2003-04-01 | 99.8 | 99.2 |
| 2003-05-01 | 99.7 | 99 |
| 2003-06-01 | 99.8 | 99.4 |
| 2003-07-01 | 99.7 | 99.3 |
| 2003-08-01 | 99.8 | 99.8 |
| 2003-09-01 | 99.8 | 100 |
| 2003-10-01 | 100.2 | 100.4 |
| 2003-11-01 | 100.3 | 100.4 |
| 2003-12-01 | 100.6 | 100.5 |
| 2004-01-01 | 100.9 | 100.7 |
| 2004-02-01 | 101.4 | 101 |
| 2004-03-01 | 101.6 | 101.1 |
| 2004-04-01 | 101.6 | 101.1 |
| 2004-05-01 | 101.2 | 100.8 |
| 2004-06-01 | 101 | 100.5 |
| 2004-07-01 | 100.6 | 100.1 |
| 2004-08-01 | 100.1 | 99.8 |
| 2004-09-01 | 100 | 99.8 |
| 2004-10-01 | 99.9 | 99.8 |
| 2004-11-01 | 99.7 | 99.7 |
| 2004-12-01 | 99.3 | 99.5 |
| 2005-01-01 | 99.2 | 99.4 |
| 2005-02-01 | 98.9 | 99.6 |
| 2005-03-01 | 99.1 | 100.1 |
| 2005-04-01 | 98.8 | 100.1 |
| 2005-05-01 | 98.7 | 99.8 |
| 2005-06-01 | 98.6 | 99.4 |
| 2005-07-01 | 98.5 | 99.5 |
| 2005-08-01 | 98.5 | 99.8 |
| 2005-09-01 | 98.4 | 100 |
| 2005-10-01 | 98.5 | 100 |
| 2005-11-01 | 99 | 100.3 |
| 2005-12-01 | 99.4 | 100.5 |
| 2006-01-01 | 99.7 | 100.9 |
| 2006-02-01 | 99.7 | 100.9 |
| 2006-03-01 | 99.8 | 100.7 |
| 2006-04-01 | 99.8 | 100.5 |
| 2006-05-01 | 100 | 100.4 |
| 2006-06-01 | 99.8 | 100 |
| 2006-07-01 | 99.1 | 99.4 |
| 2006-08-01 | 99 | 99 |
| 2006-09-01 | 99.3 | 99.4 |
| 2006-10-01 | 100.4 | 99.8 |
| 2006-11-01 | 100.8 | 100.1 |
| 2006-12-01 | 101 | 100 |
| 2007-01-01 | 100.9 | 100 |
| 2007-02-01 | 101 | 100.2 |
| 2007-03-01 | 101.1 | 100.3 |
| 2007-04-01 | 101.3 | 100.4 |
| 2007-05-01 | 101.3 | 100.5 |
| 2007-06-01 | 101.3 | 100.9 |
| 2007-07-01 | 101.4 | 101.4 |
| 2007-08-01 | 101.4 | 101.5 |
| 2007-09-01 | 101.3 | 101.6 |
| 2007-10-01 | 101.6 | 101.5 |
| 2007-11-01 | 101.7 | 101.7 |
| 2007-12-01 | 102.2 | 101.5 |
| 2008-01-01 | 102.5 | 101.2 |
| 2008-02-01 | 102.5 | 100.6 |
| 2008-03-01 | 102.4 | 100.2 |
| 2008-04-01 | 102.1 | 100 |
| 2008-05-01 | 101.8 | 99.7 |
| 2008-06-01 | 101.3 | 99.3 |
| 2008-07-01 | 101 | 98.8 |
| 2008-08-01 | 100.8 | 98.6 |
| 2008-09-01 | 100.7 | 98.4 |
| 2008-10-01 | 100.4 | 98 |
| 2008-11-01 | 99.7 | 97.5 |
| 2008-12-01 | 98.5 | 97.2 |
| 2009-01-01 | 97.8 | 97 |
| 2009-02-01 | 97.6 | 97.4 |
| 2009-03-01 | 97.7 | 97.9 |
| 2009-04-01 | 97.8 | 99 |
| 2009-05-01 | 97.8 | 99.6 |
| 2009-06-01 | 98.5 | 100.4 |
| 2009-07-01 | 98.6 | 100.6 |
| 2009-08-01 | 98.7 | 100.7 |
| 2009-09-01 | 98.9 | 100.9 |
| 2009-10-01 | 99.1 | 101.5 |
| 2009-11-01 | 99.1 | 102.1 |
| 2009-12-01 | 99 | 102.4 |
| 2010-01-01 | 99.2 | 102.5 |
| 2010-02-01 | 99.7 | 102.4 |
| 2010-03-01 | 100.1 | 102.1 |
| 2010-04-01 | 100.3 | 101.9 |
| 2010-05-01 | 100.7 | 102 |
| 2010-06-01 | 100.8 | 102 |
| 2010-07-01 | 101 | 101.9 |
| 2010-08-01 | 100.6 | 101.6 |
| 2010-09-01 | 100.2 | 101.4 |
| 2010-10-01 | 99.7 | 101 |
| 2010-11-01 | 99.7 | 100.9 |
| 2010-12-01 | 100.1 | 100.7 |
| 2011-01-01 | 101 | 101 |
| 2011-02-01 | 100.8 | 101.2 |
| 2011-03-01 | 100.9 | 101.1 |
| 2011-04-01 | 100.4 | 100.9 |
| 2011-05-01 | 100.8 | 100.8 |
| 2011-06-01 | 101 | 100.7 |
| 2011-07-01 | 101 | 100.6 |
| 2011-08-01 | 101.2 | 100.4 |
| 2011-09-01 | 100.8 | 100.1 |
| 2011-10-01 | 101 | 100 |
| 2011-11-01 | 100.7 | 99.8 |
| 2011-12-01 | 100.7 | 99.6 |
| 2012-01-01 | 100.3 | 99.7 |
| 2012-02-01 | 100.7 | 100.1 |
| 2012-03-01 | 100.5 | 100.4 |
| 2012-04-01 | 100.6 | 100.5 |
| 2012-05-01 | 100.7 | 100.2 |
| 2012-06-01 | 100.6 | 100.2 |
| 2012-07-01 | 100.8 | 99.9 |
| 2012-08-01 | 100.1 | 99.6 |
| 2012-09-01 | 100 | 99.3 |
| 2012-10-01 | 99.7 | 99.2 |
| 2012-11-01 | 100 | 99.3 |
| 2012-12-01 | 100.2 | 99.4 |
| 2013-01-01 | 100.1 | 99.4 |
| 2013-02-01 | 100.1 | 99.4 |
| 2013-03-01 | 99.7 | 99.4 |
| 2013-04-01 | 99.8 | 99.5 |
| 2013-05-01 | 99.7 | 99.5 |
| 2013-06-01 | 99.9 | 99.7 |
| 2013-07-01 | 99.8 | 99.8 |
| 2013-08-01 | 99.8 | 99.8 |
| 2013-09-01 | 99.7 | 99.7 |
| 2013-10-01 | 100 | 99.8 |
| 2013-11-01 | 100 | 99.8 |
| 2013-12-01 | 100.2 | 99.9 |
| 2014-01-01 | 100.5 | 99.9 |
| 2014-02-01 | 100.5 | 99.9 |
| 2014-03-01 | 100.6 | 99.8 |
| 2014-04-01 | 100.4 | 99.7 |
| 2014-05-01 | 100 | 99.5 |
| 2014-06-01 | 100 | 99.5 |
| 2014-07-01 | 100 | 99.3 |
| 2014-08-01 | 100 | 99.4 |
| 2014-09-01 | 99.7 | 99.6 |
| 2014-10-01 | 99.3 | 99.6 |
| 2014-11-01 | 99 | 99.7 |
| 2014-12-01 | 99.3 | 99.7 |
| 2015-01-01 | 99.3 | 100 |
| 2015-02-01 | 99.7 | 100.2 |
| 2015-03-01 | 99.3 | 100.4 |
| 2015-04-01 | 99.2 | 100.5 |
| 2015-05-01 | 98.6 | 100.6 |
| 2015-06-01 | 98.5 | 100.5 |
| 2015-07-01 | 98.4 | 100.4 |
| 2015-08-01 | 98.9 | 100.3 |
| 2015-09-01 | 99.6 | 100.5 |
| 2015-10-01 | 100.1 | 100.4 |
| 2015-11-01 | 99.9 | 100.3 |
| 2015-12-01 | 99.9 | 100 |
| 2016-01-01 | 99.5 | 99.7 |
| 2016-02-01 | 99.5 | 99.4 |
| 2016-03-01 | 99.2 | 99.4 |
| 2016-04-01 | 99.2 | 99.3 |
| 2016-05-01 | 99.5 | 99.4 |
| 2016-06-01 | 99.7 | 99.3 |
| 2016-07-01 | 99.9 | 99.4 |
| 2016-08-01 | 100.1 | 99.5 |
| 2016-09-01 | 99.9 | 99.7 |
| 2016-10-01 | 99.8 | 99.8 |
| 2016-11-01 | 100.1 | 100 |
| 2016-12-01 | 100.3 | 100.2 |
| 2017-01-01 | 100.7 | 100.4 |
| 2017-02-01 | 100.7 | 100.7 |
| 2017-03-01 | 100.9 | 100.9 |
| 2017-04-01 | 101 | 101.1 |
| 2017-05-01 | 101.1 | 101.2 |
| 2017-06-01 | 101.1 | 101.4 |
| 2017-07-01 | 101 | 101.5 |
| 2017-08-01 | 101.1 | 101.7 |
| 2017-09-01 | 101.2 | 101.7 |
| 2017-10-01 | 101.2 | 101.8 |
| 2017-11-01 | 101.4 | 101.7 |
| 2017-12-01 | 101 | 101.5 |
| 2018-01-01 | 101 | 101.5 |
| 2018-02-01 | 101.1 | 101.5 |
| 2018-03-01 | 101 | 101.5 |
| 2018-04-01 | 100.9 | 101.2 |
| 2018-05-01 | 100.8 | 101.2 |
| 2018-06-01 | 100.8 | 101 |
| 2018-07-01 | 100.7 | 100.9 |
| 2018-08-01 | 100.5 | 100.5 |
| 2018-09-01 | 100.2 | 100.4 |
| 2018-10-01 | 100.1 | 100.1 |
| 2018-11-01 | 99.9 | 99.9 |
| 2018-12-01 | 99.8 | 99.6 |
| 2019-01-01 | 99.9 | 99.5 |
| 2019-02-01 | 99.4 | 99.3 |
| 2019-03-01 | 99.3 | 99.4 |
| 2019-04-01 | 99.1 | 99.4 |
| 2019-05-01 | 99.4 | 99.1 |
| 2019-06-01 | 99.5 | 98.9 |
| 2019-07-01 | 99.5 | 98.6 |
| 2019-08-01 | 99.6 | 98.5 |
| 2019-09-01 | 99.8 | 98.5 |
| 2019-10-01 | 99.8 | 98.9 |
| 2019-11-01 | 99.7 | 99.2 |
| 2019-12-01 | 100.1 | 99.5 |
| 2020-01-01 | 100.3 | 99.5 |
| 2020-02-01 | 99.7 | 99.5 |
| 2020-03-01 | 98.5 | 99.1 |
| 2020-04-01 | 97.4 | 98.8 |
| 2020-05-01 | 96.4 | 98.5 |
| 2020-06-01 | 96.5 | 98.7 |
| 2020-07-01 | 96.7 | 99 |
| 2020-08-01 | 97.1 | 99.5 |
| 2020-09-01 | 97.5 | 99.8 |
| 2020-10-01 | 97.9 | 100.2 |
| 2020-11-01 | 98.4 | 100.7 |
| 2020-12-01 | 98.5 | 100.9 |
| 2021-01-01 | 98.2 | 101.3 |
| 2021-02-01 | 98.3 | 101.5 |
| 2021-03-01 | 98.7 | 101.8 |
| 2021-04-01 | 99.5 | 102.2 |
| 2021-05-01 | 99.5 | 102.5 |
| 2021-06-01 | 99.5 | 102.8 |
| 2021-07-01 | 99.5 | 102.6 |
| 2021-08-01 | 99.5 | 102.3 |
| 2021-09-01 | 99.4 | 101.9 |
| 2021-10-01 | 99.6 | 101.5 |
| 2021-11-01 | 99.9 | 101.2 |
| 2021-12-01 | 100.6 | 101 |
| 2022-01-01 | 101.1 | 101.1 |
| 2022-02-01 | 101.3 | 100.8 |
| 2022-03-01 | 100.9 | 100.6 |
| 2022-04-01 | 100.6 | 100.4 |
| 2022-05-01 | 100.6 | 100.6 |
| 2022-06-01 | 100.7 | 100.6 |
| 2022-07-01 | 100.9 | 100.4 |
| 2022-08-01 | 101.3 | 100.3 |
| 2022-09-01 | 101.2 | 100.3 |
| 2022-10-01 | 101.1 | 100.3 |
| 2022-11-01 | 100.6 | 100.1 |
| 2022-12-01 | 100.1 | 99.6 |
| 2023-01-01 | 99.7 | 99.3 |
| 2023-02-01 | 99.9 | 99 |
| 2023-03-01 | 100.2 | 98.8 |
| 2023-04-01 | 100.4 | 98.6 |
| 2023-05-01 | 100.4 | 98.8 |
| 2023-06-01 | 100.3 | 99.1 |
| 2023-07-01 | 100 | 99.5 |
| 2023-08-01 | 99.8 | 99.5 |
| 2023-09-01 | 99.6 | 99.6 |
| 2023-10-01 | 99.8 | 99.9 |
| 2023-11-01 | 99.7 | 100.1 |
| 2023-12-01 | 99.6 | 100.3 |
| 2024-01-01 | 99.7 | 100.3 |
| 2024-02-01 | 99.9 | 100.5 |
| 2024-03-01 | 99.6 | 100.3 |
| 전체평균 | 100.114 | 100.2401 |